Hitlers Peace Offer to Britain
What follows is the essence of Hitlers peace proposal included some minor details I have extrapolated from what he had Hess deliver to the British in May 1941 which included an offer of German military withdrawals from all of Western Europe southern Europe and the Mediterranean:- All hostilities between the German Reich and the British Commonwealth will cease immediately.
- Germany agrees to withdraw all military forces from France Belgium the Netherlands Denmark and Norway.
- In addition Germany agrees to withdraw all military forces from Yugoslavia Greece Libya western Egypt and the Mediterranean region generally.
- France will cede Alsace-Lorraine back to Germany along with the French colony of Madagascar and will transfer the French aircraft carrier Bearn and the battleships Provence Strasbourg Richelieu and Jean Bart (still under construction) to German control.
- All European Jews will be deported to Madagascar where they will be granted self-rule and control of domestic and economic affairs while Germany retains control of their foreign policy and security. Alternatively the Jews will be shipped to Palestine.
- Germany will retain control of Luxembourg.
- Belgium will return the Eupen-Malmedy District to Germany.
- Britain will take a position of benevolent neutrality in the event of any potential conflict between Germany and the U.S.S.R. including facilitating the sale of foodstuffs and raw materials to Germany.
- No war reparations will be levied against any belligerent country.
- France will continue production of tanks aircraft and artillery in support of German military requirements and will provide raw materials as requested.
- All prisoners of war will be returned to their home countries including two million French POWs.
- Germany will help mediate a peaceful resolution of the conflict between Britain and Italy including disputed Italian claims on Yugoslavia and Greece (Such a resolution might include the Italian annexation of the Istrian peninsula and northern Dalmatian coast and adjacent islands in the Adriatic Sea all of which had been promised to Italy by the Allies in exchange for declaring war on Germany and Austria-Hungary in World War I and a withdrawal of Italian troops from the rest of those two nations) as well as to the Anglo-Italian conflicts over their African colonies (potentially resulting in the transfer of British Somalialand Malta Corsica Nice the Savoy Tunisia and French Somalia to Italy.)
- Britain and France agree to return all former Imperial German colonies (excepting those taken over by Japan) including Tanganyika Rwanda Burundi German Southwest Africa Cameroon Togo Kaiser-Wilhelmsland (northeast New Guinea) Nauru the Bismarck Archipelago the North Solomon Islands and Samoa. British troops to be allowed a rail corridor across Tanganyika linking British colonies in northern and southern Africa.
- German troops will be made available to defend the British Empire if needed.
How would British acceptance of this Treaty have altered the course of history?
Had Churchill accepted this treaty he might have been re-elected Prime Minister in the 1941 elections that would have followed the signing of the peace treaty with Nazi Germany which would likely have been seen by the British people as something of a moral victory for the UK given the extremely favorable terms offered by Hitler but then would likely have been defeated in the 1946 elections. Churchill would have been far more likely to violate the terms of this peace agreement than Hitler (due to the fact that Hitler had a huge incentive not to as a resumption of the war with Britain would effectively remove any hope of defeating the Soviets) and in fact it might have been to Britains advantage to do so to exploit the German military withdrawals from northern western and southern Europe. Britain could have opted to abrogate its armistice/treaty with Nazi Germany and re-initiate hostilities with Germany at the time and place of its choosing under more advantageous conditions (i.e. when Britain had finished its rearmament program and Germany had suffered a couple million casualties and was still bogged down fighting a costly war against the Soviet Union) or simply by providing all out direct military aid to the Soviet Union as it did in actual history. British military intervention in the Nazi-Soviet war including a naval blockade and terror-bombing campaign of large German cities might have enabled the Red Army to push the Germans back to the Riga-Odessa Memel-Odessa line or even enabled the Allies to defeat Nazi Germany within a few years of their defeat in actual history. If Britain did declare war on Nazi Germany again their first territorial objective would have been to retake Egypt and the Suez Canal followed by Palestine Trans-Jordan and Iraq to cut off the Axis Powers from their main fuel supply. Of course had this peace treaty been implemented all of France would have remained under Vichy French control led by Marshal Petain who blamed the British for betraying France and destroying much of its naval fleet in the Battle of Mers-el-Kebir as much or more than he blamed Germany for defeating France. It seems very unlikely that Petain would have assented to British requests to send another British Expeditionary Force to France to open up a second front against the Germans. Likewise Norway Denmark Belgium Holland would have likely rebuffed British offers of military intervention having lost no territory following the agreed upon 1941 German military withdrawal other than Belgium in the case of the Eupen-Malmedy district. However Greece might have been open to British offers to help them regain lost territory so that would likely be where Britain would have opened up its Second Front after retaking its Middle Eastern colonial possessions. From Greece the British could have provided more direct military aid to Tito to help his Communist rebels fight Axis forces while also threatening to capture Istanbul from Turkey. Even if Britain didnt declare war on Germany again they could have still provided large-scale direct military aid to the Soviet Union while claiming to remain officially neutral in the war. They also could have helped the Free French take control of French North Africa from Vichy French control just as they did in actual history without a declaration of war though in this alternate timeline that might have sparked a declaration of war against the British by the French government and the mobilization of two million French soldiers. With the British having been deprived of most if not all of their naval bases in the Mediterranean the French might have succeeded in reinforcing French North Africa and repelling the British and Free French invaders. Had the Axis succeeded in capturing all of these regions it is highly unlikely that Hitler would have been willing to return Gibraltar Palestine Trans-Jordan and Iraq to British control though he may have been willing to compromise with regards to the status of Egypt and the Suez Canal perhaps proposing that Egypt be granted full-independence and control over the Suez Canal with all foreign troops withdrawn. King Farouk who kept Egypt neutral during most of the war very well might have sought to join the Axis Powers anyway as a hedge against a potential future British invasion. Hitler would likely have still been willing to withdraw German troops from the Mediteranean provided that Axis gains in the region remained under Axis control. Accordingly the actual peace offer hand-delivered from Rudolf Hess to the British would have likely been modified accordingly. Also under this treaty the lives of all five to six million European Jews who perished in the Jewish Holocaust from December 1941-May 1945 would have been saved. This outcome would have left open the possibility of a Jewish state being founded with as many as three times the current population of Israel though admittedly the impetus for founding the Jewish state would have been lessened without Nazi persecution and genocide. There would have been no need for U.S. intervention in the European War no U.S.-Japanese war and no Unholy Alliance between the U.S. Britain and the Soviet Union. As a result there would have been no Allied war crimes committed by the U.S. Britain and France including no terror bombings no illegal starvation blockade of Germany no post war starvation of millions of its civilians and POWs as part of the implementation of the Morgenthau Plan/JCS 1067 and no Operation Keelhaul forcibly returning two million anti-Communist freedom fighters and their families to be executed by Stalin. Finally there would have been no Allied surrender of half of Europe to Soviet Communism at Yalta. It is a little known fact that following US President Franklin D. Roosevelts July 1941 imposition of the crushing US-UK-Dutch oil embargo that had it been continued for over a year would have left Japan unable to sail its warships Japan offered to withdraw from China (excluding Manchuria and Jehol province) and Indochina in exchange for a full end to the oil embargo and normalization of diplomatic relations as a last ditch effort to avoid war with the United States. Had the British accepted Hitlers 1941 peace offer President Roosevelt would not have been obsessed with finding a way to provoke the Japanese to engage in a surprise attack on Pearl Harbor on December 7 1941 as a back door to war to galvanize an anti-war public and anti-war Congress into declaring war on Nazi Germany. Accordingly he would likely have accepted the Japanese peace offer to withdraw its forces from China and Indochina completely averting the outbreak of a US-Japanese Pacific War. At that point the Japanese would have been left with only one remaining option to expand their empire which would have been by joining the war then underway against the Soviet Union in an attempt to occupy as much of Eastern Siberia east of Lake Baikal (and perhaps Mongolia) as possible as the Japanese had previously considered doing during the Russian Civil War. After withdrawing its forces from China Japan would likely have invaded the Soviet Far East in early 1942 in an attempt to seize control of its oil reserves to try to become self-sufficient in fuel oil so that the U.S. could never again force it to withdraw from its imperial conquests. Following a Japanese declaration of war and likely rapid initial advances Stalin would have most likely sought a separate peace either with Nazi Germany or Imperial Japan to give him time to concentrate on defeating one enemy and rebuild his military strength to begin a counteroffensive to regain lost territory in a few years time but given Hitlers obstinance he may not have gotten one. Of course the Soviets having to fight a two-front war against Nazi Germany and Imperial Japan would have significantly increased the chances of a favorable outcome to the war for Germany. The withdrawal of all Japanese forces from most of mainland China would have provided a golden opportunity for the Nationalist Chinese led by Generalissimo Chiang Kai Shek to defeat Communist Chinese dictator Mao Tse Tungs Red Army once and for all at a time when they were still very weak. Nationalist China likely would have seized control of all of modern-day China including Sinkiang and Tibet with the exception of Manchuria and Jehol province (which were then part of Manchukuo a Japanese puppet state) which would remain under Japanese control while Mongolia would have likely remained under Soviet control. Furthermore a Nationalist victory over the Communists followed by the return of Manchuria to Nationalist control which without the implementation of Communist Chinas infamous one-child policy would have likely increased the population of China from 1.38 billion today to nearly 2.25 billion (averting nearly 800 million forced abortions and infanticides committed by Communist China thus far). This along with free-enterprise based economic reforms would have likely enabled Nationalist China to eclipse the U.S. as the worlds largest economy far earlier than Communist China appears set to do. The change to U.S. history by Churchills acceptance of this treaty would most likely have been profound. Without U.S. involvement in World War Two the U.S. would not have gotten involved as an interventionist power and would not have lost over 400000 men in World War Two and another nearly 100000 in the Korean and Vietnamese wars. Also the U.S. might not have developed the atomic bomb until several years later with Soviet development of the atomic bomb not occurring until several years after that. FDR would likely have been defeated in the 1944 presidential election leaving Republican nominee Gov. Thomas Dewey (R-NY) not Truman to replace him. General Eisenhower would never have become well-known to the American people let alone President. Senator Robert Taft or even General Douglas MacArthur might have been elected President instead in the 1944-1952 timeframe. Certainly had a staunch anti-Communist like General MacArthur been President they would likely have sought to take strong action to deter or defend against any potential Soviet aggression particularly against Nationalist China. The U.S. would have remained the pre-eminent economic superpower and likely would have become a nuclear superpower as well but would not have likely been the interventionist power it is today. This outcome might have been better as it would not have lost so much blood and treasure fighting first to effectively help spread Communism in central and Eastern Europe and East Asia and then later fighting to defend against it. In fact the United States might not have ended up getting involved in the conflict with the Soviet Union at all outside of arms shipments to its Western European and Nationalist Communist Chinese allies. Most importantly the proud flag of the United States would never have been sullied with the horrific war crimes our liberal pro-Soviet political and military leaders actually committed during and after World War Two against innocent Japanese and particularly German civilians. This alternate history timeline would have likely ended up being much less favorable for the Soviets in Europe and Asia much better for the people of China which would have remained under Nationalist control much better for Japan whose empire would likely have survived in some form and much better for the Jews and for the Poles which had a large Jewish population given that the Jewish Holocaust would have been entirely averted. However it is uncertain whether Israel would have come into existence by 1947 given the existence of a self-governing Jewish homeland state in Madagascar unless Churchill had accepted Hitlers proposal to relocate the Jews to Palestine instead. It would have less favorable for France but much better for Britain which would have been strengthened by having the war shortened by four years likely enabling it to retain its Empire for a considerably longer period of time and much better for Italy. It would have been much better for Germany as well particularly if Hitler had been assassinated and the Nazi regime overthrown. Korea would likely have remained part of Japan probably for a couple decades later but thereafter would likely have become united and free. Without the Allies opening up secondary fronts in France and Italy and without the massive Allied direct military aid which the U.S. and U.K. provided the Soviets in actual history including 22000 tanks 18000 aircraft over 15000 artillery pieces and 430000 trucks with which to Communize Eastern Europe and East Asia including mainland China and French Indochina it is unlikely that the Soviet Union could have defeated Nazi Germany. If Churchill didnt abrogate the peace treaty the Germans wouldnt have had to worry about the illegal Allied starvation blockade or having its oil resources cut off. Without having to worry about defending Germany against British terror bombers Germany could have kept the vast majority of its 88mm guns on the eastern front where they could be put to better use destroying Soviet tanks and aircraft. Without the destruction of her arms factories and without having to build over 1150 U-boats to fight a losing unrestricted submarine warfare campaign against Britain Germany likely would have been able to build thousands if not tens of thousands more medium tanks and combat aircraft including jet fighters enabling it to retain air superiority over the Soviets. Perhaps with his supply of Iraqi oil secure Hitler might not have felt the need to attack the Caucuses (and Stalingrad) and focused the German 1942 offensive on capturing Moscow instead. Eventually Nazi Germany would likely have fought the war in the East to a stalemate and after a few years Hitler might have been able to secure favorable peace terms from Stalin. However even if Nazi Germany had succeeded in defeating the Soviet Union their victory would have likely have been limited in scope unless they had succeeded in capturing Moscow and pushing the Red Army back to the Archangel-Volga-Astrakhan Line. Even then Stalin would have eventually counterattacked and pushed the Germans back likely making Germanys victory temporary and prolonging the war considerably longer than it was waged in actual history. The most likely final outcome of a German victory in the war would have been a German-dominated Europe in which German troops had completely withdrawn from Northern Southern and Western Europe (except for Luxembourg and Alsace-Lorraine) in accordance with their peace treaty with Britain. The Soviet Union would have likely been restored to its 1938 borders while German troops would be present in Eastern Europe to defend against the prospect of renewed Soviet aggression while Poland would be a Polish-led German protectorate. Ultimately a victorious Nazi Germany likely would have been a contented but contained regional power not bent on world domination as Allied war propaganda war hysteria and popular mythology suggested at the time and since. While the world might have had to endure decades of murderous Nazi German control of Central and Eastern Europe the U.S. and the rest of the world would have been much better off and the evil murderous excesses of the Nazi regime likely would have mellowed over time until the regime was forced to undergo democratic reforms. While this outcome of World War II might have allowed Nazi Germany to survive decades longer had the British accepted Hitlers compromise peace offer the outlook for freedom in East Asia would have been far better. In actual history Trumans decision to allow the Soviets to repeat the vast majority of the territorial fruits of the Allied victory over Japans led directly to the Communization of mainland China which alone cost the lives of at least sixty million innocent people with millions more innocents mass murdered by Communist regimes in North Korea Vietnam Laos and Cambodia. All of these Communist takeovers would have likely been averted. Hopefully Hitler would have been assassinated and the Nazis overthrown by the German resistance shortly thereafter returning Germany to democratic control. Then the new German government could have granted full independence to Poland Estonia Latvia Lithuania and the Czech Republic and returned all Polish majority territories to Poland and invited them to join a new Central & Eastern European mutual defense alliance against the Soviet Union. Perhaps the biggest long-term difference of this alternate history timeline would have been that Nazi Germany Imperial Japan and their minor allies along with perhaps Nationalist China would have fought a half-century long Cold War against the Soviet Union rather than the United States and its Western European allies. This would have saved the U.S. a great deal of its precious blood and treasure which it ended up expending during the Cold War. Instead of having the U.S. Russia and Communist China as the three nuclear superpowers today we would more likely have only had the U.S. & Russia since Communist China would not likely exist again leading to a more peaceful and safer world. Japan and subsequently Nationalist China would also likely have joined the U.S. Britain France Germany and the Soviet as nuclear powers. Ultimately the Soviet Union would likely still have collapsed in 1991. This would have rendered Communism largely extinct unlike today where Communism still controls nearly a quarter of the worlds people and the existential threat of Russian nuclear attack might be directed against Germany Japan and the Republic of China rather than the United States. (Authors Note--This article was updated on September 18 2019 to reflect the most current historical research and analysis) © David T. Pyne 2019 David T. Pyne Esq. is a former U.S. Army combat arms and H.Q. staff officer with a M.A. in National Security Studies from Georgetown University. He currently serves as a Vice President of the Association of the United States Armys Utah Chapter and as Utah Director of the EMP Caucus on National and Homeland Security. He can be reached at [email protected]