https://youtu.be/N4SxoKPzOlg
History is destined to be repeated a century after World War I: a war some historians suggest solved nothing other than an uneasy armistice for 20 years. In Syria a land once part of the long-defunct Ottoman Empire the intervening Russian military accused terrorists aligned with neighboring Turkey of firing a second round of rockets at their airbase in its northern region near the Turkish border in May with the first incident involving 17 rockets and the second four at the Russian Khmeimim airbase in Syria. Russia who since the height of the Soviet Union maintains its sphere of influence over Damascus claims Syrian government forces successfully repelled three attacks by the Nusra Front (Al-Qaeda of Syria which merged with the Islamic State of Iraq/Al-Qaeda of Iraq in April 2013 to form the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria). Moscow claims that these militants loyal to the regime in Ankara involved some 500 militants. In September 2018 Russia and Turkey signed a deal to prevent a Syrian regime offensive into Idlib province where the Nusra Front/ISIS is located. Turkey a NATO ally of the United States which controls Idlib was supposed to keep the militants away from the front line behind a buffer zone. However it appears the Nusra Front/ISIS seeks to provoke Assad and Russia into a larger attack with hopes that Moscow and Turkey might end up in a conflict shortly after Ankara had recently announced plans to acquire the Russian-made S-400 air defense system from Moscow ― a point of disdain and anger out of fellow NATO allies and in particular the Trump administration. It is certain that these rebel forces at Idlib seek to spoil the Turkey-Russia deal though far less is known of the implications between the American-Turkish stand-off over the matter of a new Free Kurdistan nation and Ankaras role in the migrant crisis in the European Union. It is also clear that Washington does not want a conflict in Idlib nor more refugees pouring into Turkey which seeks membership into the European Union. The U.S. is also concerned about the Syrian regime under Bashar al-Assads continued employment of chemical weapons. Russian state media (Russia Today) may also be playing this up to send a message to Turkey that it needs to rein in the rebels and stop the rockets or face dire consequences as Russia has done through manufactured invasions since 1992 in Grozny Dagastan Chechnya South Ossetia and now the former republics of Georgia and Ukraine. In that case Russia is also making it clear that the Idlib tensions need to be reduced. With Russo-Turkish ties increasing over the S-400 deal and energy deals both Ankara and Moscow have claimed that they do not want a war over Syria. caption id=attachment_31440 align=alignleft width=323

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Documentation Released Apri... by Jonathan Henderson on Scribd
The conflict in the wake of Syria and Russia collaborating to gas a village that included children among the dead and a U.S. airstrike at an airfield where those weapons were stored have changed things forever.
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The Russo-Turkish rivalry is not new nor is Syrias ties to both Russia and Turkey and before that the progenitor of both nations the Roman Empire (both in Rome itself and later Constantinople). It emerged in 1676 over Moscows thirst to establish a warm-water port on the Black Sea in Crimea as well as the region comprising of modern Ukraine west of the Dnieper River and would follow with conflicts in 1688 and 1689. Though these early conflicts ended in defeat for the Russians by the war of 169596 Tsar Peter the Greats forces successfully captured the fortress of Azov. It was here the Russian Empires design for territorial expansion to provide additional buffer zones and sea lanes into the Mediterranean by way of the Bosporus Strait (dividing Constantinople and Europe from Anatolia) began and by 1878 ended with the Ottoman Empire on the brink of total collapse. The rivalry even after the two empires collapsed following World War I remains alive and well and on the brink of war over the stand-off in Syria and a potential confrontation with NATO. One thing is certain regarding President Trumps decision to remove Americas troops from Syria: whatever offensive Turkey plans against forces tied to the PKK in northern Syria it will reflect somehow on Trumps legacy with respect to foreign policy if the operation results in a broader regional conflict. Out of 1000 military advisers located in the region only 50 were located at the border. Given Turkey will likely deploy thousands of troops into the area it is unlikely that 1000 advisers let alone 50 of our servicemen located at the border could stop a sudden attack that extends deeper into Syria. For those not aware the PKK has been classified a Foreign Terrorist Organization by the State Department since October 8 1997. In a larger sense American foreign policy in Syria has been to illegally fund terrorists tied to Al-Qaeda to fight both the Assad regime in Syria and later ISIS. It was this policy which ultimately led to the creation of what is today the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria. To defeat them the U.S. government directly funded a communist terror organization to fight for Washingtons goals but with their blood. The matter that it is the Kurds who are threatening to release 15000 ISIS fighters into their own region suggests that Kurdish forces are not fighting for the purposes of their own peoples survival as they are for a homeland which spans portions of four countries including Turkey. The PKK furthermore have remained backed (at least indirectly) by Russia during its offensive as proxy fighters on behalf of NATO with PKK leader Abdullah Ocalan allegedly trained by Russias KGB-FSB. Furthermore on December 22 2016 a report published by Human Rights Watch (HRW) claimed that the HPG the armed wing of the PKK and the YBS a Yazidi militia affiliated with the PKK had actively been recruiting child soldiers to fight both ISIS and launch targets on civilian populations in Turkey since 2015 with more than 29 cases documented and allegations that some children were under 15 a war crime under international law. Turkish authorities claimed that four members of the organization who handed themselves over to authorities after escaping from camps in northern Iraq claimed they had seen two U.S. armored vehicles deliver weapons further stoking suspicions about U.S. foreign policy in Iraq. The arms were claimed to be part of Blackwater Worldwide. The U.S. according to Turkish Daily News along with the PKK denied these claims. Why else would the Kurds be holding the U.S. hostage on this issue by threatening to release the very fighters who were killing their people when there is no moral justification by them to place their own people at risk? For two years Trump actually increased funding and shipments of arms into Kurdish-occupied territories for the purpose of fighting ISIS but it remains unclear whether they have used what we have provided to attack Turkeys civilian population. This implies that the Kurds do not need U.S. forces to maintain prison facilities housing ISIS. How can our government justify trusting a Kurdish civil authority largely undergirded by terrorists which are also allies of Russia? Likewise what may come of the Kurds under an illegitimate Turkish occupation should Erdogan break his promise to Trump not to expand the operation into a wider regional conflict or engage in a massacre of the civilian population? Now 45 years after the last conflict with fellow NATO ally Greece over the fate of Cyprus ended in Turkish victory Turkey is looking at another war with rival Greece over the same question with altercations between the two belligerents having taken place within the Aegean Sea over the Dodecanese Islands which hold a demilitarized status according to the 1947 Treaty of Paris and the 1923 Treaty of Lausanne. Erdogan no longer recognizes the internationally-binding agreement as he wants Athens to return the islands previously ceded to Greece. Athens meanwhile claims that Turkey did not agree to those terms in Paris and that the demilitarized status lost its relevance with the creation of NATO and the Warsaw Pact.
https://youtu.be/oRDBVmTlPaA https://youtu.be/R8osT9c_rZ4
The United States presently have three aircraft carriers in the Aegean Sea tasked to deescalate tensions between Turkey and Greece over disputed islands as well as Cyprus which number at roughly 9000 servicemen and women. Aside Trumps vow to destroy Turkeys economy should this expand into a broader regional conflict he should consider air strikes against Turkish military bases inside Anatolia if this offensive expands beyond what President Erdogan told Trump. Alas the truth usually painful stranger and more prophetic than fiction nevertheless finds itself repeated once more.