Republicans’ Voter Registration Edge over Democrats Almost Doubles in Maricopa County, Statewide Increases to Almost Six Percent

Despite the Democratic wins in Arizona in 2020 and 2022, Republicans have widened their voter registration edge over Democrats over the past four years. According to data from the Arizona Secretary of State earlier this year, between 2020 and 2024, Republicans increased their lead from approximately 3 percent to 5.77 percent. In Maricopa County, Republicans increased their lead even more, from 4 percent to 7 percent.

The change has occurred primarily with Democratic voter registrations; Republican voter registration has remained steady at 35 percent. Statewide, Republicans constitute 35.07 percent of voters, followed by independents at 34.10 percent and Democrats at 29.30 percent. While Republicans outnumber independents at the state level by almost 40,000 voters, independents outnumber Republicans in Maricopa County by 2,631.

In 2020, at the time of the general election, Republicans made up 35.24 percent of registered voters, 3 percent more than Democrats at 32.20 percent. Independents lagged behind at 31.67 percent. In Maricopa County, Republicans constituted 35.26 percent to Democrats’ 31.37, with independents ahead of the Democrats at 32.39 percent.

The increase in Republicans’ lead has been steady throughout the last four years, beginning in 2021. In 2021, Democrats and independents were tied with 32 percent of each vote. Republicans made up 34.50 percent of registered voters. In 2023, Democrats dropped to around 30 percent.

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GOP v. Dems by DonkeyHotey / Flickr is licensed under