The New Hampshire presidential primary is just a few days away and Donald Trump has held a double-digit lead there for the past 30 weeks. Historically this is the most important early primary in the country; of the last 20 winners of the New Hampshire primary 15 went on to win their partys nomination. Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum won the last two Iowa Republican caucuses but lost New Hampshire and ultimately the nomination.
John H. Sununu once said that Iowa picks corn and New Hampshire picks presidents. However George W. Bush and Bob Dole both won Iowa lost New Hampshire and still went on to win the GOP nomination. Going back to 1976 Iowa and New Hampshire have split the GOP nominee choice six times. In two cases the Iowa pick won. In four of those cases the New Hampshire pick won.
This year the GOP field remains unusually crowded and the Trump candidacy is unusual in all kinds of ways so its hard to say if New Hampshire is still a bellwether but theres no denying its a prize and theres no denying Trump holds a daunting lead in the New Hampshire polls at the moment. Cruz will have his work cut out for him even finishing second. Hes currently clustered with a group of three other candidates (Kasich Rubio and Bush) hovering around the 10 mark.
Read the rest of the article at The Stream
The New Hampshire presidential primary is just a few days away and Donald Trump has held a double-digit lead there for the past 30 weeks. Historically this is the most important early primary in the country; of the last 20 winners of the New Hampshire primary 15 went on to win their partys nomination. Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum won the last two Iowa Republican caucuses but lost New Hampshire and ultimately the nomination.
John H. Sununu once said that Iowa picks corn and New Hampshire picks presidents. However George W. Bush and Bob Dole both won Iowa lost New Hampshire and still went on to win the GOP nomination. Going back to 1976 Iowa and New Hampshire have split the GOP nominee choice six times. In two cases the Iowa pick won. In four of those cases the New Hampshire pick won.
This year the GOP field remains unusually crowded and the Trump candidacy is unusual in all kinds of ways so its hard to say if New Hampshire is still a bellwether but theres no denying its a prize and theres no denying Trump holds a daunting lead in the New Hampshire polls at the moment. Cruz will have his work cut out for him even finishing second. Hes currently clustered with a group of three other candidates (Kasich Rubio and Bush) hovering around the 10 mark.
Read the rest of the article at The Stream